Opening Day / Fantasy Baseball Draft Results

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Coming off of a World Baseball Classic, TEAM USA victory last week where Marcus Stroman pitched masterfully we roll into the last Thursday without baseball! I am so freaking excited I cannot stand it. I wanna go see baseball, I wanna play baseball, I wanna watch it, I wanna watch the coverage, I wanna watch ESPN 30 for 30 baseball specials I’ve already seen before. I am so pumped for Opening Day Monday. I have plans to attend the Opening Day parade in downtown Cincinnati Monday morning and enjoy myself at the block party a little. I plan to do some shopping around, eating some unhealthy greasy food and heading home in time to watch the pregame coverage on TV to get me even more ready for the season.

This entry is not intended to amplify my excitement for the regular season (although it clearly cannot be contained), it is intended to follow up on my last blog entry in regards to my fantasy draft plans and suggestions and how I was able to “practice what I preach” and how I failed miserably in some areas in a league of 12 people who aren’t just casual fans who know a few names.

I ended up with the 9th overall pick and if I am being honest with myself cannot help but think I made a questionable decision. I chose Joey Votto as he is my favorite player but I defend it wasn’t a bad choice at all, I can’t help but wonder if maybe I messed up by passing up Bryce Harper (who is having a monster spring by the way) and Josh Donaldson. With Trout, Altuve, Bryant, Arenado, Machado, Kershaw and company off the table I felt like the right move would have been to take Donaldson or Harper but in the past I’ve had a hard time getting past the hype of Bryce harper despite his MVP season, although Donaldson I have no such excuse. I admit I may have blown this call but I have a gut feeling about Votto batting .330 with 30+ home runs and at least 80 RBIs.

For my second pick I immediately told myself “I’m going to get an ACE early this time” so I went for the top guy on my list. I even put him above Kershaw. I went with Mad Max Scherzer. I did it completely hoping he’d throw 8 no hit games and have multiple 20K performances because that’s the delusional world I live in. I managed to pick up Jonathan Lucroy at the backstop in the 3rd round right after Posey was off the table which ensured me I have gotten arguably the best catcher in the game. I’d have prefered Posey for versatility at 1st base but Lucroy is a solid AVG/HR guy. With my 4th round pick I noticed leading up to it that Seager, Lindor, Turner, Correa were flying off the board and I said that this shortstop position is too deep to miss on so I in an almost panic grabbed Addison Russell. I’ve read places over the offseason that he is expected to build on his success and surprise people. I’d like to be the beneficiary of that.

I don’t recall my next picks in exact order but I know Rick Porcello was my next pitcher I drafted. I figured why not have 2 current CY winners on my rotation? Then next I managed to draft David Price (much later in the draft to my surprise). I drafted Price as a gamble hoping he figures out his issues and pitches to the level we’ve grown use to from him. If he doesn’t rack up wins I hope he racks up K’s. Other notables among my rotation are late picks. AJ Ramos for the Saves, Steve Cishek for the saves, to fill out my rotation, Collin McHugh, Trevor Bauer, Chris Tillman, Jason Hammel, Brandon Finnegan shape up my pitching staff.
I managed to land a decent outfield that after my priority-list / wish list was nearly unavailable I began drafting on my gut. I drafted Andrew Benintendi who is a promising rookie in Boston who is said to be a 5-tool threat and a big package. I picked up Tim Anderson as a back up shortstop for the SB stat. I also grabbed Hernan Perez from Milwaukee because of his versatility and SB total. Jason Kipnis and Justin Turner fill out my 1st and 2nd base positions late in the draft. I feel like I slept on Turner because I kind of forgot he existed then when I seen his name I remembered the MLB Network had “The Shredder” that ranks top 3rd basemen 1-10 and Turner made that list. Then you look at his 2016 output and the guy is quietly one of the best in the league! I feel like I did well there suddenly. And to think, I almost drafted Pablo Sandoval in desperation.

CJ Cron is my backup to 1st base along with MLB HR leader Chris Carter who plays for the Yankees this year and will likely DH. My outfield outside of Benintendi includes Adam Duvall, Nomar mazara, Max Kepler and Kevin Kiermaier and JD Martinez. Eduardo Nunez rounds out my utility role for the SB and AVG and Scooter Gennett was my final pick. He is now with Cincinnati but will likely be a support option for 2nd base and OF positions. The kid had pop though and hits a cool .260 so we will see.

How did I do? Where did I go wrong? How far did I deviate from my own strategy? I’d like to hear how your team looks and what your approach was. Comment and let’s get the discussion going. With that said Happy Opening Day!!!!

David Washburn

L-L-Let Me Know What IS Yo Fant--t-t-SY!

Thursday, March 2, 2017

It’s March 1st. Have you started thinking about your fantasy baseball team(s) yet?
With spring training well under way and Opening Day looming in roughly a month I think it’s okay to started thinking about how you’re going to be drafting this year. I’m one of those people who doesn’t like to manage more than one team per season but this year I am attempting to run 2 teams. One league is a paid league and that one I will take more serious because of the prize and all. I’ll be in a 14 person league so top players will go fast as we draft snake style. Last year I did okay. I came in 2nd in this league and I dominated in all offensive categories except stolen bases. Pitching was where I lacked at. I picked Arenado in the first round, then Greinke in the 2nd round only to have him be injured. Then 3rd round I picked Joey Votto, then 4th David Price who was anything but spectacular. He stunk up my team pretty good. Marcus Stroman was easily my standout pitcher last year if that gives you an idea. I had a rotation of 4 guys who are average and a rotating spot for any pitcher available pitching the current day.

I want to share some of my insight and thinking behind my plans for drafting. A lot of my thinking is basic and obvious, some picks will be no question, as others are more for statistical balance. A lot of this will be debatable and I totally understand that a lot of the “locks” will be off the table very quickly.  I’ve compiled a list by position and have it in order by priority. With that said here we go.

1st Base
Joey Votto
Anthony rizzo
Paul Goldschmidt
Miguel Cabrera
Freddie Freeman
Adrian Gonzalez
Chris “Crush” Davis
Edwin Encarnacion

Anyone after this to me is on an "any available basis". I pick Votto above all first basemen because I am clearly biased with him being my favorite player, but also that he reigns in OBP, second only to Mike Trout. The guy simply is arguably the best hitter in baseball and he doesn’t drive to the ballpark… he walks. (See what I did there?)
Anthony Rizzo is coming off arguably the most entertaining World Series to date. This guy is a superstar and should be mentioned alongside guys like Harper, Trout, Correa but he is now overshadowed in Chicago by the monster that is Kris Bryant. Holy Cow is that a scary 3-4 punch in the batting order! I can’t shake the feeling the Rizzo is going to play even harder this season to try and get into the MVP conversation. It’s hard to route against that guy. My recommendation is to pick one of these 2 for certain if they’re available when you pick for first base.

2nd Base
Jose Altuve
DJ LeMahieu
Robinson Cano

Anybody that says Altuve isn’t the best 2nd basemen in baseball is nuts. The guys hits for AVG, has a little pop in his bat, plays gold glove defense, and he steals 50+ bags a year. If you considered any other 2nd basement over him you should reconsider just on the stolen bases alone.
DJ LeMahieu is a guy who is quietly making a presence. The guy hit over .340 in 2016. Robinson Cano is a guy who needs to argument. He is aging sure, but aging well. He is playing in Seattle though and with an inconsistent lineup so you may not see a ton of runs score from him and he is known to slump, but the power is appealing.

Corey Seager
Francisco Lindor

Those guys are locks, but the shortstop position is so deep throughout baseball that you could bare to wait a few rounds and still land a good player here.

Dansby Swanson (Who is a bit of an unknown but shows a lot of promise), Addison Russell, Tulo, Correa, Jonathan Villar is a guy who will hit for AVG and steal bags, Brandon Crawford, Xander Bogaerts. I’m not too worried here if I missed Corey Seager. I’d much rather draft a first or third basement before shortstop.

3rd Base
Kris Bryant
Nolan Arenado
Josh Donaldson
Manny Machado

An argument can be made for any of those four guys. Personally I think you’re a fool to take anyone over Kris Bryant in this position if you pick a 3rd basemen in the 1st round.
Once those 4 guys are gone there are still great options left. Adrian Beltre still puts up numbers, Kyle Seager is quietly a great 3rd basemen, Todd Frazier is going to put a lot of balls in the seats.

Jonathan Lucroy
Buster Posey

This is a position that is not deep at all. There are a few other good catchers but Schwarber may end up in the OF leaving little star power at the position. Yadier Molina, Salvador Perez, Wilson Ramos…. It’s kind of weak, you may end up with a Devin Mesoraco or Nick Hundley if you wait too long here. I had Posey and Ramos last year and Ramos had an incredible year in Washington but he is in Tampa now with a sad offensive core compared to where he left. I would draft him with caution if you’re basing it off of 2016 numbers.

Albert Pujols
Kendrys Morales

I honestly would not take Ichiro too high in the draft, he may only be playing part time. He is 40+ now. He definitely is no everyday player either and plays in the NL.
Pujols is an obvious pick. The guy (when healthy) can still mash with the best of them.

Mike Trout
Mark Trumbo
Ryan Braun
Bryce Harper
Billy Hamilton
Mookie Betts
Yoenis Cespedes
Adam Duvall
Andrew McCutchen
Adam Jones

The Outfield position is great in fantasy because you don’t have to have a left, center or right fielder. You can have 3 left fielders if you wanted to. So I think it goes without saying that if you get the #1 or #2 overall spot in the draft you’re probably going to go after Mike trout. The guy is simply amazing and for him to draw comparisons statistically to Mickey Mantle is astounding. Would you pass up Mickey Mantle in a draft? Me neither. Mark Trumbo is a guy I put a lot of stock in and always have despite his injuries. The guy has crazy power and makes very loud contact with each at bat. Ryan Braun is a perennial all-star player and is always consistent. He plays on a bad Brewers team right now though which means he may score more runs than he gets RBIs. Bryce Harper had a horrific year in 2016 so you can probably assume he is coming into 2017 to make a statement that he is still the best in the game. The same can be said about Andrew McCutchen. Another player to really consider grabbing is Mookie Betts who many believe should have won the AL MVP over Trout. There is a lot of room to argue over that one but this guy is playing on a LOADED Boston ball club coming off an MVP worthy season, and you can only expect him to build on that growth. Billy Hamilton is also another guy worth considering for the stolen bases. He also showed improvement later in the season with getting on base and has been taking hitting instruction from teammate Joey Votto. The outfield has enough power in it for you to land a couple big bats and not have to risk losing out on infielders or pitchers.

Max Scherzer
Clayton Kershaw
Jake Arrietta
Jon Lester
Chris Sale
David Price (with caution to his "sore elbow")
Corey Kluber
Johnny Cueto
Marcus Stroman
Madison Bumgarner
Thor (Noah Syndergaard)
Jacob Degrom
Steven Matz
King Felix (Hernandez)
Dallas Kuechel

Pitching is very available this year. But the same goes for fantasy as for card collecting, never put all of your focus on pitching. With Tommy John Surgery being so common today and injuries and setbacks with pitchers, I would advise against wasting a first round pick on a pitcher simply because position player quality is so much better this season. I'm hoping after I draft my centerpiece player that Max Scherzer is available. If not there are plenty of valuable options. I'll probably avoid David Price but I have a feeling he is looking to bounce back and I am hoping he is not on the way to a major surgery.

So I am hoping for a fruitful year as I attempt multiple teams this season. The excitement and stress that comes with it, and the woes of watching players go through rough patches only for them to get hot as soon as you bench them for some scrub on the waiver-wire. What do you think about my breakdown? Agree, disagree? What is your game plan? Drop a comment, and share this with your fellow fans.

Until next time….